The Rimbot's NCAA Week of 11-09-2009 Predictions
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 |  | Temple | 28 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0.78 | 69% | 27.00 | 1.101 | ±0.418 | 21.67 | 0.993 | ±0.492 |
| | at Akron | 19 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0.22 | 31% | 18.44 | 0.918 | ±0.594 | 25.78 | 1.038 | ±0.500 |
 | | Troy | 30 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0.78 | 69% | 31.33 | 1.093 | ±0.405 | 26.11 | 0.999 | ±0.452 |
 | at Arkansas | 40 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0.56 | 57% | 35.56 | 1.704 | ±0.597 | 26.11 | 1.023 | ±0.580 |
 |  | Texas | 42 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 88% | 41.00 | 1.801 | ±0.365 | 12.44 | 0.423 | ±0.186 |
| | at Baylor | 12 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0.44 | 46% | 24.33 | 1.040 | ±0.551 | 24.67 | 0.962 | ±0.163 |
 | | Idaho | 19 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0.70 | 63% | 30.80 | 1.208 | ±0.487 | 31.10 | 1.346 | ±0.663 |
 | at Boise St. | 53 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 86% | 41.44 | 1.637 | ±0.489 | 16.00 | 0.574 | ±0.369 |
 |  | Ohio | 24 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0.67 | 58% | 24.44 | 0.923 | ±0.359 | 20.56 | 0.831 | ±0.384 |
| | at Buffalo | 20 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0.33 | 39% | 23.78 | 1.020 | ±0.435 | 26.11 | 1.015 | ±0.479 |
 |  | Arizona | 30 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0.75 | 70% | 32.25 | 1.341 | ±0.283 | 22.00 | 0.840 | ±0.431 |
| | at California | 28 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0.67 | 63% | 31.44 | 1.315 | ±0.911 | 23.11 | 0.925 | ±0.339 |
 |  | Houston | 34 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0.89 | 78% | 42.11 | 1.663 | ±0.523 | 30.11 | 1.102 | ±0.595 |
| | at UCF | 25 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0.56 | 54% | 21.78 | 0.870 | ±0.492 | 21.00 | 0.782 | ±0.211 |
 | | Toledo | 18 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0.44 | 44% | 28.56 | 1.063 | ±0.506 | 37.44 | 1.713 | ±0.616 |
 | at Central Mich. | 47 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0.78 | 68% | 30.56 | 1.098 | ±0.542 | 16.89 | 0.665 | ±0.353 |
 | | West Virginia | 19 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0.78 | 72% | 28.33 | 1.301 | ±0.452 | 20.89 | 0.746 | ±0.276 |
 | at Cincinnati | 35 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 87% | 40.00 | 1.948 | ±0.882 | 16.44 | 0.614 | ±0.396 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 |  | Georgia Tech | 37 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0.90 | 81% | 34.70 | 1.836 | ±0.678 | 24.90 | 0.966 | ±0.510 |
| | at Duke | 27 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0.56 | 54% | 26.89 | 1.143 | ±0.521 | 23.56 | 0.912 | ±0.314 |
 |  | Western Mich. | 37 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0.40 | 42% | 24.40 | 0.934 | ±0.516 | 29.40 | 1.187 | ±0.372 |
| | at Eastern Mich. | 19 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0.00 | 13% | 15.67 | 0.637 | ±0.278 | 38.78 | 1.547 | ±0.373 |
 |  | Arkansas St. | 37 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0.25 | 32% | 23.25 | 0.966 | ±0.595 | 20.00 | 0.817 | ±0.455 |
| | at Fla. Atlantic | 21 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0.25 | 32% | 27.00 | 0.963 | ±0.435 | 37.00 | 1.651 | ±0.500 |
 | | North Texas | 35 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0.22 | 29% | 28.00 | 0.966 | ±0.436 | 38.33 | 1.612 | ±0.628 |
 | at FIU | 37 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0.22 | 31% | 24.00 | 0.914 | ±0.278 | 34.00 | 1.293 | ±0.386 |
 |  | Auburn | 38 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0.70 | 66% | 35.00 | 1.625 | ±0.663 | 26.60 | 0.966 | ±0.331 |
| | at Georgia | 33 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0.56 | 57% | 27.11 | 1.465 | ±0.591 | 26.11 | 0.939 | ±0.527 |
 | | New Mexico St. | 14 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0.33 | 37% | 11.78 | 0.432 | ±0.391 | 29.89 | 1.135 | ±0.416 |
 | at Hawaii | 27 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0.33 | 38% | 24.56 | 0.906 | ±0.429 | 33.22 | 1.176 | ±0.251 |
 |  | Northwestern | 25 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0.60 | 55% | 24.80 | 0.952 | ±0.292 | 23.30 | 1.089 | ±0.511 |
| | at Illinois | 22 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0.33 | 39% | 20.67 | 0.928 | ±0.655 | 26.56 | 0.990 | ±0.317 |
 | | Colorado | 20 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0.33 | 40% | 23.22 | 0.923 | ±0.361 | 30.00 | 1.044 | ±0.529 |
 | at Iowa St. | 25 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0.50 | 51% | 21.20 | 0.952 | ±0.509 | 22.70 | 0.832 | ±0.390 |
 | | Missouri | 24 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0.56 | 56% | 27.89 | 1.148 | ±0.326 | 24.44 | 0.865 | ±0.397 |
 | at Kansas St. | 27 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0.60 | 58% | 26.10 | 1.251 | ±0.887 | 22.50 | 0.807 | ±0.519 |
 |  | Nebraska | 25 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0.67 | 62% | 25.67 | 1.100 | ±0.637 | 10.33 | 0.333 | ±0.223 |
| | at Kansas | 12 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0.56 | 54% | 30.78 | 1.351 | ±0.592 | 24.22 | 0.892 | ±0.541 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 | | Louisiana Tech | 14 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0.33 | 38% | 27.89 | 1.049 | ±0.644 | 26.11 | 0.896 | ±0.313 |
 | at LSU | 24 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0.78 | 73% | 25.11 | 1.009 | ±0.303 | 13.44 | 0.483 | ±0.323 |
 |  | Syracuse | 23 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0.33 | 42% | 20.33 | 0.983 | ±0.523 | 28.44 | 1.050 | ±0.230 |
| | at Louisville | 22 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0.33 | 40% | 19.00 | 0.851 | ±0.265 | 26.44 | 0.952 | ±0.280 |
 |  | Southern Miss. | 26 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0.56 | 53% | 33.89 | 1.191 | ±0.337 | 23.89 | 0.942 | ±0.508 |
| | at Marshall | 21 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0.56 | 55% | 20.78 | 0.899 | ±0.613 | 21.00 | 0.814 | ±0.473 |
 |  | Virginia Tech | 46 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0.67 | 68% | 29.00 | 1.748 | ±0.816 | 17.44 | 0.613 | ±0.326 |
| | at Maryland | 16 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0.22 | 30% | 22.67 | 1.042 | ±0.540 | 32.33 | 1.248 | ±0.477 |
 |  | UAB | 33 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0.44 | 45% | 28.22 | 0.932 | ±0.395 | 32.89 | 1.260 | ±0.387 |
| | at Memphis | 29 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0.22 | 30% | 21.89 | 0.948 | ±0.389 | 33.22 | 1.276 | ±0.448 |
 |  | Bowling Green | 33 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0.44 | 48% | 24.33 | 1.108 | ±0.497 | 28.44 | 1.111 | ±0.480 |
| | at Miami (OH) | 18 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0.10 | 24% | 15.60 | 0.682 | ±0.512 | 33.30 | 1.215 | ±0.443 |
 | | La.-Lafayette | 21 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0.56 | 52% | 21.89 | 0.792 | ±0.612 | 29.44 | 1.214 | ±0.653 |
 | at Middle Tenn. | 31 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0.67 | 58% | 29.33 | 0.865 | ±0.422 | 25.11 | 0.969 | ±0.254 |
 |  | South Dakota St. | 30 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0.78 | 70% | 27.22 | 1.219 | ±0.403 | 13.89 | 0.535 | ±0.343 |
| | at Minnesota | 14 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0.50 | 52% | 24.30 | 1.140 | ±0.566 | 27.00 | 1.031 | ±0.362 |
 |  | Alabama | 30 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 88% | 30.89 | 1.459 | ±0.471 | 11.78 | 0.410 | ±0.241 |
| | at Mississippi St. | 14 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0.44 | 50% | 26.89 | 1.456 | ±0.675 | 24.56 | 0.787 | ±0.442 |
 | | Tennessee | 19 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0.56 | 56% | 32.11 | 1.361 | ±0.461 | 18.89 | 0.720 | ±0.293 |
 | at Mississippi | 21 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0.67 | 64% | 29.89 | 1.123 | ±0.546 | 15.78 | 0.537 | ±0.215 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 |  | Miami (FL) | 22 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0.78 | 73% | 32.33 | 1.642 | ±0.681 | 23.22 | 0.814 | ±0.333 |
| | at North Carolina | 20 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0.67 | 63% | 22.33 | 0.915 | ±0.524 | 15.33 | 0.552 | ±0.242 |
 |  | Fresno St. | 37 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0.67 | 64% | 35.00 | 1.447 | ±0.477 | 22.44 | 0.818 | ±0.501 |
| | at Nevada | 25 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0.61 | 57% | 30.78 | 1.085 | ±0.845 | 26.78 | 1.020 | ±0.496 |
 |  | BYU | 53 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0.78 | 70% | 36.56 | 1.356 | ±0.490 | 21.89 | 0.792 | ±0.555 |
| | at New Mexico | 13 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0.00 | 13% | 15.33 | 0.644 | ±0.307 | 36.56 | 1.549 | ±0.489 |
 |  | Clemson | 39 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0.67 | 65% | 31.89 | 1.424 | ±0.507 | 17.33 | 0.571 | ±0.376 |
| | at North Carolina St. | 23 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0.44 | 46% | 33.67 | 1.509 | ±0.808 | 29.56 | 1.138 | ±0.634 |
 | | Western Ky. | 21 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0.00 | 14% | 20.44 | 0.753 | ±0.295 | 44.56 | 1.724 | ±0.635 |
 | at La.-Monroe | 49 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0.56 | 53% | 27.78 | 1.125 | ±0.614 | 27.89 | 1.007 | ±0.613 |
 | | Ball St. | 13 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0.11 | 21% | 20.56 | 0.738 | ±0.230 | 28.89 | 1.203 | ±0.440 |
 | at Northern Ill. | 34 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0.67 | 59% | 31.22 | 1.052 | ±0.321 | 16.78 | 0.709 | ±0.399 |
 | | Iowa | 12 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0.90 | 82% | 24.10 | 1.224 | ±0.481 | 15.90 | 0.551 | ±0.273 |
 | at Ohio St. | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0.80 | 74% | 30.30 | 1.339 | ±0.514 | 11.20 | 0.401 | ±0.353 |
 |  | Texas Tech | 35 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0.67 | 63% | 40.22 | 1.971 | ±1.084 | 23.44 | 0.855 | ±0.528 |
| | at Oklahoma St. | 30 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0.78 | 72% | 34.11 | 1.351 | ±0.411 | 21.00 | 0.690 | ±0.439 |
 | | Texas A&M | 16 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0.56 | 53% | 35.56 | 1.384 | ±0.586 | 30.56 | 1.124 | ±0.711 |
 | at Oklahoma | 37 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0.56 | 56% | 29.78 | 1.297 | ±0.625 | 12.33 | 0.392 | ±0.331 |
 | | Washington | 24 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0.33 | 42% | 24.44 | 1.186 | ±0.427 | 29.11 | 1.015 | ±0.264 |
 | at Oregon St. | 35 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0.67 | 65% | 29.56 | 1.390 | ±0.435 | 23.67 | 0.823 | ±0.360 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 | | Arizona St. | 18 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0.44 | 45% | 24.11 | 0.829 | ±0.317 | 18.44 | 0.690 | ±0.236 |
 | at Oregon | 28 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0.78 | 73% | 36.33 | 1.684 | ±0.739 | 20.89 | 0.742 | ±0.468 |
 | | Indiana | 11 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0.40 | 44% | 24.10 | 1.123 | ±0.380 | 28.50 | 1.221 | ±0.595 |
 | at Penn St. | 36 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0.80 | 74% | 28.30 | 1.338 | ±0.780 | 10.80 | 0.421 | ±0.287 |
 | | Notre Dame | 20 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0.67 | 63% | 30.11 | 1.228 | ±0.257 | 22.89 | 0.866 | ±0.385 |
 | at Pittsburgh | 34 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0.89 | 79% | 34.56 | 1.646 | ±0.599 | 17.11 | 0.615 | ±0.316 |
 |  | Michigan St. | 35 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0.50 | 53% | 30.10 | 1.364 | ±0.457 | 22.20 | 0.832 | ±0.476 |
| | at Purdue | 24 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0.40 | 45% | 25.90 | 1.229 | ±0.700 | 28.80 | 1.008 | ±0.276 |
 |  | Tulane | 29 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0.33 | 40% | 16.89 | 0.621 | ±0.539 | 37.44 | 1.323 | ±0.309 |
| | at Rice | 23 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0.00 | 14% | 16.33 | 0.651 | ±0.262 | 43.89 | 1.823 | ±0.640 |
 |  | South Fla. | 20 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0.75 | 69% | 30.75 | 1.174 | ±0.495 | 17.62 | 0.596 | ±0.387 |
| | at Rutgers | 19 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0.75 | 68% | 28.88 | 1.150 | ±0.314 | 17.50 | 0.643 | ±0.310 |
 | | Wyoming | 19 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0.44 | 47% | 16.22 | 0.607 | ±0.473 | 26.56 | 0.921 | ±0.300 |
 | at San Diego St. | 25 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0.44 | 46% | 24.67 | 1.007 | ±0.303 | 30.00 | 1.243 | ±0.351 |
 |  | Florida | 28 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 89% | 35.00 | 1.564 | ±0.568 | 10.11 | 0.332 | ±0.209 |
| | at South Carolina | 9 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0.60 | 59% | 21.30 | 1.022 | ±0.717 | 20.40 | 0.700 | ±0.410 |
 | | Stanford | 24 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0.67 | 61% | 34.00 | 1.498 | ±0.657 | 24.56 | 1.001 | ±0.314 |
 | at Southern California | 30 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0.78 | 71% | 28.22 | 1.274 | ±0.566 | 18.00 | 0.623 | ±0.421 |
 | | UTEP | 30 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0.33 | 38% | 27.33 | 0.971 | ±0.539 | 35.11 | 1.449 | ±0.745 |
 | at SMU | 39 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0.56 | 55% | 27.00 | 1.109 | ±0.404 | 29.22 | 1.188 | ±0.613 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 | | Utah | 12 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0.89 | 76% | 29.11 | 1.115 | ±0.347 | 16.44 | 0.731 | ±0.168 |
 | at TCU | 26 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 88% | 37.44 | 1.549 | ±0.406 | 11.22 | 0.391 | ±0.210 |
 | | East Carolina | 21 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0.56 | 55% | 24.11 | 0.925 | ±0.311 | 21.89 | 0.882 | ±0.301 |
 | at Tulsa | 23 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0.44 | 45% | 29.67 | 0.942 | ±0.532 | 23.33 | 0.827 | ±0.401 |
 | | UNLV | 12 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0.40 | 44% | 25.30 | 0.898 | ±0.310 | 32.00 | 1.262 | ±0.635 |
 | at Air Force | 34 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0.60 | 57% | 27.30 | 1.038 | ±0.489 | 12.90 | 0.511 | ±0.289 |
 |  | VMI | 21 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0.22 | 29% | 19.22 | 0.862 | ±0.428 | 30.44 | 1.355 | ±0.489 |
| | at Army | 20 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0.33 | 36% | 15.78 | 0.600 | ±0.141 | 24.00 | 1.067 | ±0.257 |
 |  | Delaware | 26 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0.67 | 64% | 28.00 | 1.414 | ±0.645 | 19.11 | 0.921 | ±0.430 |
| | at Navy | 25 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0.70 | 65% | 28.80 | 1.254 | ±0.605 | 21.40 | 0.804 | ±0.299 |
 | | San Jose St. | 18 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0.19 | 32% | 13.25 | 0.574 | ±0.324 | 30.75 | 0.995 | ±0.626 |
 | at Utah St. | 31 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0.22 | 30% | 28.00 | 1.080 | ±0.382 | 33.11 | 1.243 | ±0.474 |
 |  | Kentucky | 26 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0.56 | 56% | 27.11 | 1.274 | ±0.429 | 22.67 | 0.873 | ±0.505 |
| | at Vanderbilt | 15 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0.20 | 28% | 16.70 | 0.654 | ±0.460 | 22.50 | 0.866 | ±0.440 |
 |  | Boston College | 27 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0.67 | 63% | 29.22 | 1.236 | ±0.565 | 19.44 | 0.669 | ±0.485 |
| | at Virginia | 17 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0.33 | 42% | 20.89 | 0.999 | ±0.438 | 25.11 | 0.811 | ±0.472 |
 |  | Florida St. | 32 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0.44 | 51% | 30.89 | 1.621 | ±0.699 | 30.89 | 0.997 | ±0.389 |
| | at Wake Forest | 31 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0.40 | 46% | 24.30 | 1.216 | ±0.941 | 24.00 | 0.808 | ±0.367 |
 |  | UCLA | 30 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0.44 | 49% | 20.33 | 0.834 | ±0.238 | 23.00 | 0.749 | ±0.330 |
| | at Washington St. | 12 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0.11 | 24% | 14.11 | 0.555 | ±0.237 | 38.56 | 1.343 | ±0.269 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 | | Michigan | 28 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0.50 | 49% | 32.00 | 1.363 | ±0.626 | 26.40 | 1.127 | ±0.512 |
 | at Wisconsin | 34 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0.78 | 73% | 29.56 | 1.350 | ±0.373 | 22.44 | 0.805 | ±0.351 |
 | | Jackson St. | 15 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0.38 | 40% | 15.88 | 0.644 | ±0.266 | 20.25 | 0.906 | ±0.447 |
 | at Alabama A&M | 24 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0.56 | 55% | 23.89 | 1.267 | ±0.564 | 23.67 | 0.989 | ±0.527 |
 |  | Southern U. | 30 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0.62 | 59% | 32.88 | 1.473 | ±0.937 | 21.50 | 1.153 | ±0.800 |
| | at Alabama St. | 17 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0.44 | 42% | 17.67 | 0.621 | ±0.423 | 18.89 | 1.006 | ±0.572 |
 |  | Prairie View | 37 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0.86 | 76% | 25.86 | 1.040 | ±0.365 | 15.86 | 0.757 | ±0.621 |
| | at Alcorn St. | 15 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0.29 | 35% | 20.86 | 0.925 | ±0.747 | 35.57 | 1.443 | ±0.555 |
 | | Tennessee St. | 16 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0.33 | 37% | 13.22 | 0.553 | ±0.265 | 19.33 | 0.799 | ±0.241 |
 | at Austin Peay | 17 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0.33 | 38% | 20.00 | 0.910 | ±0.374 | 27.67 | 1.318 | ±0.511 |
 |  | Stony Brook | 27 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0.56 | 53% | 22.67 | 0.831 | ±0.251 | 21.44 | 0.928 | ±0.387 |
| | at Charleston So. | 19 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0.44 | 45% | 23.11 | 0.806 | ±0.470 | 30.33 | 1.238 | ±0.768 |
 | | Dartmouth | 19 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0.25 | 35% | 17.88 | 1.023 | ±0.662 | 30.62 | 1.265 | ±0.600 |
 | at Brown | 37 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0.62 | 60% | 26.62 | 1.298 | ±0.606 | 20.25 | 0.993 | ±0.350 |
 | | St. Francis (PA) | 14 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0.22 | 29% | 16.33 | 0.666 | ±0.600 | 25.78 | 1.093 | ±0.576 |
 | at Bryant | 17 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0.33 | 38% | 15.11 | 0.689 | ±0.368 | 19.78 | 0.940 | ±0.694 |
 |  | South Dakota | 30 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0.44 | 47% | 30.56 | 1.348 | ±1.143 | 24.89 | 1.047 | ±0.486 |
| | at Cal Poly | 23 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0.44 | 47% | 21.78 | 0.921 | ±0.554 | 22.89 | 0.964 | ±0.322 |
 | | North Dakota | 26 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0.56 | 54% | 23.67 | 1.016 | ±0.417 | 29.22 | 1.766 | ±2.025 |
 | at UC Davis | 37 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0.56 | 55% | 24.00 | 1.048 | ±0.600 | 27.67 | 1.040 | ±0.504 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 | | Monmouth | 23 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0.56 | 54% | 22.00 | 0.904 | ±0.384 | 21.67 | 0.939 | ±0.406 |
 | at Central Conn. St. | 27 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0.78 | 69% | 27.00 | 1.332 | ±0.514 | 23.11 | 1.111 | ±0.321 |
 | | Presbyterian | 17 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0.00 | 14% | 18.11 | 0.741 | ±0.221 | 42.11 | 1.760 | ±0.525 |
 | at Coastal Caro. | 28 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0.44 | 46% | 15.67 | 0.687 | ±0.456 | 23.67 | 0.961 | ±0.529 |
 | | Bucknell | 16 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0.33 | 35% | 13.89 | 0.656 | ±0.357 | 23.78 | 1.248 | ±0.503 |
 | at Colgate | 37 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0.80 | 71% | 31.30 | 1.449 | ±0.665 | 23.20 | 1.161 | ±0.481 |
 |  | Columbia | 25 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0.25 | 33% | 20.88 | 1.020 | ±0.462 | 23.25 | 1.028 | ±0.483 |
| | at Cornell | 19 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0.25 | 31% | 18.88 | 0.805 | ±0.327 | 25.50 | 1.192 | ±0.408 |
 |  | Marist | 21 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0.67 | 58% | 22.11 | 0.853 | ±0.325 | 17.22 | 0.985 | ±0.712 |
| | at Davidson | 12 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0.33 | 40% | 13.11 | 0.592 | ±0.534 | 24.56 | 0.924 | ±0.517 |
 |  | Norfolk St. | 36 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0.56 | 56% | 27.11 | 1.395 | ±0.609 | 19.33 | 0.887 | ±0.358 |
| | at Delaware St. | 15 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0.38 | 42% | 16.50 | 0.805 | ±0.505 | 27.62 | 1.225 | ±0.669 |
 | | Dayton | 18 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0.78 | 67% | 24.89 | 1.060 | ±0.347 | 14.22 | 0.735 | ±0.304 |
 | at Drake | 21 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0.89 | 76% | 29.56 | 1.362 | ±0.601 | 16.11 | 0.741 | ±0.623 |
 | | Tenn.-Martin | 21 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0.44 | 43% | 26.56 | 1.000 | ±0.391 | 26.22 | 1.380 | ±0.444 |
 | at Eastern Ill. | 31 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0.78 | 69% | 24.00 | 1.067 | ±0.525 | 19.22 | 0.846 | ±0.652 |
 | | Western Caro. | 12 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0.11 | 20% | 13.00 | 0.569 | ±0.448 | 28.78 | 1.335 | ±0.783 |
 | at Eastern Ky. | 27 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0.56 | 52% | 21.00 | 0.890 | ±0.478 | 20.22 | 0.952 | ±0.457 |
 | | Lehigh | 22 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0.22 | 31% | 18.67 | 0.871 | ±0.432 | 20.56 | 0.909 | ±0.505 |
 | at Fordham | 25 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0.44 | 46% | 27.22 | 1.223 | ±0.453 | 26.44 | 1.153 | ±0.655 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 |  | Richmond | 36 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0.89 | 79% | 31.11 | 1.465 | ±0.494 | 16.00 | 0.730 | ±0.416 |
| | at Georgetown | 7 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0.00 | 15% | 9.11 | 0.430 | ±0.343 | 24.33 | 1.162 | ±0.401 |
 |  | Furman | 34 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0.44 | 46% | 28.00 | 1.181 | ±0.383 | 33.67 | 1.337 | ±0.485 |
| | at Ga. Southern | 28 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0.44 | 48% | 18.89 | 0.927 | ±0.380 | 29.67 | 1.187 | ±0.554 |
 | | Texas Southern | 24 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0.50 | 49% | 25.00 | 0.679 | ±0.501 | 27.50 | 1.362 | ±0.629 |
 | at Grambling | 44 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0.56 | 55% | 32.22 | 1.588 | ±0.647 | 27.44 | 1.209 | ±0.531 |
 |  | Florida A&M | 32 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0.78 | 70% | 29.56 | 1.448 | ±0.431 | 22.44 | 1.166 | ±0.420 |
| | at Hampton | 21 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0.44 | 44% | 19.67 | 0.819 | ±0.382 | 21.89 | 1.088 | ±0.551 |
 |  | Penn | 15 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0.75 | 69% | 20.38 | 0.849 | ±0.375 | 11.00 | 0.521 | ±0.402 |
| | at Harvard | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0.75 | 68% | 28.88 | 1.239 | ±0.226 | 18.12 | 0.757 | ±0.300 |
 |  | Lafayette | 33 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0.89 | 79% | 29.78 | 1.658 | ±0.677 | 19.56 | 0.822 | ±0.368 |
| | at Holy Cross | 29 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0.89 | 76% | 34.78 | 1.477 | ±0.408 | 21.33 | 1.029 | ±0.293 |
 |  | Bethune-Cookman | 23 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0.44 | 46% | 16.33 | 0.721 | ±0.476 | 21.33 | 1.030 | ±0.438 |
| | at Howard | 9 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0.22 | 29% | 9.22 | 0.441 | ±0.269 | 30.22 | 1.424 | ±0.550 |
 |  | Portland St. | 31 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0.20 | 29% | 19.80 | 0.785 | ±0.377 | 33.10 | 1.349 | ±0.200 |
| | at Idaho St. | 15 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0.00 | 15% | 10.10 | 0.514 | ±0.560 | 39.00 | 1.587 | ±0.594 |
 |  | North Dakota St. | 48 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0.22 | 31% | 25.56 | 1.190 | ±0.613 | 28.78 | 1.103 | ±0.423 |
| | at Indiana St. | 9 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0.10 | 22% | 8.20 | 0.284 | ±0.272 | 33.40 | 2.220 | ±2.175 |
 | | Tennessee Tech | 12 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0.56 | 52% | 21.56 | 0.775 | ±0.441 | 24.11 | 1.151 | ±0.379 |
 | at Jacksonville St. | 34 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0.67 | 61% | 32.89 | 1.260 | ±0.627 | 14.89 | 0.574 | ±0.333 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 |  | Butler | 35 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 84% | 30.78 | 1.413 | ±0.715 | 17.00 | 0.835 | ±0.333 |
| | at Jacksonville | 25 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0.50 | 49% | 30.12 | 1.489 | ±0.740 | 23.50 | 1.184 | ±0.581 |
 | | Rhode Island | 22 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0.11 | 23% | 20.89 | 1.016 | ±0.671 | 36.89 | 1.577 | ±0.612 |
 | at Maine | 33 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0.44 | 46% | 19.78 | 0.944 | ±0.388 | 22.78 | 0.976 | ±0.546 |
 | | James Madison | 17 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0.44 | 48% | 20.22 | 0.914 | ±0.502 | 20.22 | 0.838 | ±0.468 |
 | at Massachusetts | 24 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0.56 | 55% | 27.00 | 1.281 | ±0.768 | 19.44 | 0.762 | ±0.404 |
 | | Lincoln (MO) | 9 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 0.05 | 16% | 6.00 | 0.251 | ±0.252 | 30.60 | 1.565 | ±0.768 |
 | at Mississippi Val. | 15 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0.22 | 27% | 13.11 | 0.332 | ±0.264 | 30.22 | 1.618 | ±0.813 |
 | | Sacramento St. | 22 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0.44 | 45% | 25.11 | 0.984 | ±0.498 | 35.11 | 1.553 | ±0.481 |
 | at Montana St. | 33 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0.67 | 60% | 23.44 | 0.863 | ±0.366 | 21.56 | 0.868 | ±0.349 |
 | | Northern Colo. | 14 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0.30 | 34% | 19.20 | 0.687 | ±0.436 | 25.00 | 0.992 | ±0.424 |
 | at Montana | 33 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 85% | 34.33 | 1.316 | ±0.499 | 18.67 | 0.785 | ±0.413 |
 |  | San Diego | 26 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0.33 | 38% | 21.78 | 0.967 | ±0.350 | 21.67 | 1.090 | ±0.853 |
| | at Morehead St. | 17 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0.22 | 28% | 17.33 | 0.657 | ±0.474 | 24.33 | 1.320 | ±0.501 |
 | | Northwestern St. | 20 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0.00 | 15% | 14.11 | 0.464 | ±0.305 | 39.33 | 1.375 | ±0.824 |
 | at Nicholls St. | 24 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0.11 | 22% | 15.89 | 0.644 | ±0.334 | 41.78 | 1.487 | ±0.797 |
 |  | Hofstra | 30 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0.44 | 46% | 18.56 | 0.860 | ±0.642 | 22.22 | 0.952 | ±0.424 |
| | at Northeastern | 14 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0.11 | 25% | 13.89 | 0.666 | ±0.379 | 37.00 | 1.467 | ±0.596 |
 | | Western Ill. | 9 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0.11 | 21% | 16.33 | 0.681 | ±0.390 | 27.00 | 1.211 | ±0.539 |
 | at UNI | 43 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0.67 | 63% | 34.78 | 1.655 | ±0.685 | 13.67 | 0.571 | ±0.336 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 |  | Yale | 24 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0.50 | 48% | 18.25 | 0.760 | ±0.448 | 16.00 | 0.760 | ±0.439 |
| | at Princeton | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0.25 | 32% | 10.25 | 0.479 | ±0.290 | 29.62 | 1.361 | ±0.628 |
 |  | Wagner | 33 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0.67 | 60% | 33.33 | 1.521 | ±0.798 | 29.33 | 1.604 | ±1.127 |
| | at Robert Morris | 25 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0.33 | 35% | 17.11 | 0.744 | ±0.256 | 19.33 | 1.070 | ±0.756 |
 | | Duquesne | 21 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0.22 | 29% | 17.44 | 0.821 | ±0.513 | 26.00 | 1.301 | ±0.602 |
 | at Sacred Heart | 22 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0.22 | 31% | 18.00 | 0.799 | ±0.304 | 27.78 | 1.149 | ±0.546 |
 |  | Central Ark. | 41 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0.56 | 51% | 29.78 | 0.950 | ±0.331 | 16.67 | 0.598 | ±0.303 |
| | at Sam Houston St. | 18 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0.44 | 43% | 29.33 | 1.065 | ±0.669 | 36.56 | 1.594 | ±0.752 |
 | | Webber Int'l | 23 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.00 | 19% | 10.33 | 0.754 | ±0.366 | 29.33 | 1.483 | ±0.672 |
 | at Savannah St. | 28 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0.29 | 32% | 21.00 | 0.826 | ±0.531 | 33.00 | 1.998 | ±0.949 |
 | | Morgan St. | 12 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0.56 | 51% | 16.22 | 0.690 | ±0.429 | 20.33 | 1.181 | ±0.780 |
 | at South Carolina St. | 33 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0.89 | 78% | 31.89 | 1.422 | ±0.480 | 16.00 | 0.820 | ±0.542 |
 | | Murray St. | 21 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0.33 | 37% | 19.22 | 0.758 | ±0.582 | 27.89 | 1.192 | ±0.574 |
 | at Southeast Mo. St. | 23 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0.11 | 23% | 18.56 | 0.859 | ±1.001 | 27.11 | 1.139 | ±0.537 |
 |  | Stephen F. Austin | 36 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0.78 | 69% | 38.78 | 1.252 | ±0.750 | 21.44 | 0.965 | ±0.694 |
| | at Southeastern La. | 28 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0.67 | 61% | 33.78 | 1.112 | ±0.510 | 27.89 | 0.958 | ±0.598 |
 | | Missouri St. | 11 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0.60 | 56% | 19.30 | 0.783 | ±0.301 | 20.20 | 0.810 | ±0.301 |
 | at Southern Ill. | 31 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0.89 | 78% | 33.89 | 1.672 | ±0.685 | 14.22 | 0.595 | ±0.429 |
 |  | Eastern Wash. | 37 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0.67 | 62% | 31.22 | 1.238 | ±0.603 | 23.56 | 0.905 | ±0.588 |
| | at Southern Utah | 30 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0.44 | 45% | 33.44 | 1.259 | ±0.468 | 29.67 | 1.170 | ±0.593 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 |  | McNeese St. | 42 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0.78 | 69% | 39.56 | 1.284 | ±0.467 | 26.00 | 1.174 | ±0.832 |
| | at Texas St. | 39 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0.67 | 63% | 32.89 | 1.509 | ±0.707 | 29.67 | 1.142 | ±0.513 |
 | | Citadel | 23 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0.44 | 44% | 24.11 | 0.937 | ±0.515 | 26.89 | 1.194 | ±0.481 |
 | at Chattanooga | 25 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0.56 | 53% | 22.78 | 0.853 | ±0.230 | 23.33 | 0.986 | ±0.523 |
 |  | Villanova | 49 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0.89 | 81% | 30.11 | 1.524 | ±0.413 | 13.67 | 0.517 | ±0.302 |
| | at Towson | 8 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0.22 | 31% | 14.33 | 0.592 | ±0.364 | 34.44 | 1.524 | ±0.482 |
 |  | Campbell | 30 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0.22 | 32% | 20.33 | 0.945 | ±0.444 | 30.89 | 1.423 | ±0.407 |
| | at Valparaiso | 18 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0.11 | 24% | 12.44 | 0.571 | ±0.309 | 33.11 | 1.397 | ±0.520 |
 | | Northern Ariz. | 31 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0.56 | 54% | 30.33 | 1.195 | ±0.412 | 27.89 | 1.127 | ±0.282 |
 | at Weber St. | 31 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0.56 | 53% | 29.33 | 1.025 | ±0.291 | 22.11 | 1.143 | ±0.534 |
 | | New Hampshire | 19 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0.89 | 75% | 34.89 | 1.331 | ±0.513 | 19.00 | 0.984 | ±0.560 |
 | at William & Mary | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0.89 | 78% | 29.00 | 1.230 | ±0.265 | 13.56 | 0.562 | ±0.310 |
 |  | N.C. Central | 25 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0.22 | 28% | 25.44 | 0.962 | ±0.461 | 30.78 | 1.390 | ±0.416 |
| | at Winston-Salem | 16 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0.11 | 21% | 11.89 | 0.504 | ±0.182 | 22.00 | 1.097 | ±0.447 |
 |  | Illinois St. | 22 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0.56 | 53% | 23.89 | 1.063 | ±0.412 | 25.56 | 1.348 | ±0.886 |
| | at Youngstown St. | 21 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0.44 | 46% | 18.11 | 0.684 | ±0.429 | 21.11 | 0.905 | ±0.435 |
 | | Appalachian St. | 20 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0.78 | 70% | 38.56 | 1.513 | ±0.295 | 24.56 | 0.967 | ±0.317 |
 | at Elon | 33 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0.89 | 75% | 35.00 | 1.331 | ±0.741 | 12.00 | 0.585 | ±0.490 |
 |  | Liberty | 37 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0.78 | 69% | 35.11 | 1.387 | ±0.754 | 16.22 | 0.741 | ±0.325 |
| | at Gardner-Webb | 18 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0.56 | 50% | 28.44 | 0.946 | ±0.603 | 23.56 | 1.152 | ±0.580 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 |  | Samford | 26 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0.44 | 45% | 20.33 | 0.817 | ±0.442 | 15.67 | 0.667 | ±0.409 |
| | at Wofford | 15 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0.33 | 39% | 23.44 | 0.929 | ±0.508 | 31.44 | 1.320 | ±0.514 |
 |  | Missouri S&T | 52 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0.35 | 38% | 18.60 | 0.747 | ±0.622 | 30.60 | 1.582 | ±0.900 |
| | at Ky. Wesleyan | 19 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0.15 | 23% | 13.10 | 0.544 | ±0.392 | 32.70 | 4.292 | ±6.682 |
 | | Concordia-Selma | 22 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 15% | 18.00 | 0.989 | ±0.623 | 31.00 | 1.715 | ±0.847 |
 | at Stillman | 31 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0.39 | 41% | 20.22 | 0.886 | ±0.435 | 21.89 | 1.209 | ±0.757 |
 | | Northwestern Okla. | 30 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 12% | 18.50 | 0.608 | ±0.298 | 30.00 | 1.402 | ±0.398 |
 | at Okla. Panhandle | 33 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0.43 | 38% | 29.71 | 0.821 | ±0.398 | 31.14 | 2.209 | ±1.288 |
 |  | Urbana | 18 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0.50 | 51% | 12.80 | 0.595 | ±0.420 | 17.60 | 0.827 | ±0.633 |
| | at Central St. (OH) | 9 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0.17 | 22% | 12.67 | 0.463 | ±0.443 | 29.33 | 1.497 | ±1.055 |
 | | Olivet | 8 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0.00 | 15% | 12.00 | 0.653 | ±0.381 | 32.33 | 1.180 | ±0.499 |
 | at Adrian | 29 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0.61 | 56% | 23.67 | 0.920 | ±0.636 | 13.44 | 0.621 | ±0.452 |
 |  | Alma | 18 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0.50 | 48% | 22.44 | 0.753 | ±0.476 | 22.89 | 1.108 | ±0.730 |
| | at Albion | 15 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0.33 | 40% | 14.11 | 0.666 | ±0.373 | 21.89 | 0.827 | ±0.407 |
 | | Lebanon Valley | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0.89 | 77% | 29.89 | 1.203 | ±0.328 | 17.78 | 0.732 | ±0.358 |
 | at Albright | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0.89 | 77% | 33.44 | 1.384 | ±0.496 | 18.22 | 0.826 | ±0.474 |
 | | Utica | 28 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0.44 | 44% | 34.89 | 1.130 | ±0.392 | 24.22 | 0.972 | ±0.465 |
 | at Alfred | 36 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0.88 | 77% | 36.12 | 1.547 | ±0.678 | 21.00 | 0.918 | ±0.267 |
 |  | N.C. Wesleyan | 35 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0.78 | 71% | 35.11 | 1.861 | ±0.367 | 25.44 | 1.236 | ±0.577 |
| | at Averett | 27 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0.72 | 65% | 22.44 | 1.035 | ±0.501 | 18.56 | 0.997 | ±0.838 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 | | Augsburg | 12 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0.50 | 49% | 21.78 | 0.934 | ±0.460 | 24.44 | 1.119 | ±0.579 |
 | at Bethel (MN) | 31 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0.72 | 67% | 25.67 | 1.372 | ±0.780 | 13.00 | 0.578 | ±0.306 |
 | | Colby | 29 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0.57 | 55% | 18.86 | 1.183 | ±0.709 | 23.14 | 1.508 | ±1.069 |
 | at Bowdoin | 36 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0.36 | 40% | 25.00 | 1.502 | ±0.864 | 24.00 | 1.580 | ±1.152 |
 | | Catholic | 18 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0.17 | 26% | 14.56 | 0.860 | ±0.854 | 21.11 | 0.945 | ±0.525 |
 | at Bridgewater (VA) | 28 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0.72 | 66% | 27.11 | 1.476 | ±0.959 | 23.22 | 1.142 | ±0.645 |
 | | Dubuque | 18 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0.39 | 41% | 24.44 | 1.047 | ±0.698 | 27.67 | 1.465 | ±0.692 |
 | at Buena Vista | 21 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0.50 | 49% | 15.67 | 0.699 | ±0.495 | 15.11 | 0.785 | ±0.400 |
 |  | Brockport | 51 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0.39 | 41% | 30.78 | 1.382 | ±0.738 | 34.33 | 1.532 | ±0.683 |
| | at Buffalo St. | 23 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0.22 | 31% | 16.56 | 0.608 | ±0.363 | 38.56 | 1.600 | ±0.411 |
 | | Redlands | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0.88 | 76% | 38.12 | 1.790 | ±0.641 | 19.50 | 1.221 | ±0.643 |
 | at Cal Lutheran | 39 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0.88 | 77% | 36.75 | 1.742 | ±0.656 | 12.38 | 0.572 | ±0.214 |
 | | Baldwin-Wallace | 19 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0.33 | 38% | 23.11 | 0.917 | ±0.437 | 29.22 | 1.334 | ±0.684 |
 | at Capital | 44 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0.72 | 67% | 29.89 | 1.630 | ±0.840 | 19.67 | 0.885 | ±0.426 |
 | | Washington-St. Louis | 13 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0.39 | 43% | 15.78 | 0.672 | ±0.493 | 20.89 | 0.774 | ±0.449 |
 | at Case | 37 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 84% | 44.44 | 1.898 | ±0.514 | 16.44 | 0.923 | ±0.429 |
 |  | Carnegie Mellon | 30 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0.56 | 55% | 24.33 | 1.208 | ±0.431 | 22.33 | 0.931 | ±0.509 |
| | at Chicago | 23 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0.56 | 54% | 22.62 | 1.077 | ±0.593 | 25.12 | 1.204 | ±0.667 |
 | | Pomona-Pitzer | 17 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0.56 | 52% | 19.25 | 0.741 | ±0.352 | 21.88 | 1.026 | ±0.536 |
 | at Claremont-M-S | 18 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0.50 | 48% | 18.12 | 0.828 | ±0.418 | 20.75 | 0.932 | ±0.670 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 | | Cornell College | 7 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0.17 | 25% | 13.11 | 0.541 | ±0.370 | 26.11 | 1.206 | ±0.554 |
 | at Coe | 28 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0.83 | 75% | 24.33 | 1.049 | ±0.623 | 12.89 | 0.540 | ±0.347 |
 | | Benedictine (IL) | 19 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0.56 | 51% | 19.56 | 0.684 | ±0.263 | 21.11 | 1.095 | ±0.379 |
 | at Concordia Chicago | 34 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0.89 | 75% | 35.22 | 1.367 | ±0.593 | 19.67 | 1.274 | ±0.535 |
 | | Gust. Adolphus | 20 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0.39 | 44% | 20.00 | 1.091 | ±0.566 | 27.67 | 1.153 | ±0.443 |
 | at Concordia-M'head | 26 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0.44 | 49% | 18.50 | 1.107 | ±0.519 | 21.25 | 0.850 | ±0.426 |
 |  | Wabash | 32 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0.83 | 75% | 35.44 | 1.752 | ±0.746 | 11.33 | 0.552 | ±0.378 |
| | at DePauw | 16 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0.88 | 76% | 32.25 | 1.341 | ±0.502 | 19.50 | 0.830 | ±0.524 |
 | | Earlham | 17 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0.50 | 48% | 15.78 | 0.671 | ±0.516 | 26.89 | 1.339 | ±0.800 |
 | at Denison | 19 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0.28 | 37% | 15.00 | 0.689 | ±0.448 | 28.22 | 0.982 | ±0.664 |
 | | Ursinus | 21 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0.56 | 55% | 25.56 | 1.144 | ±0.605 | 20.33 | 1.008 | ±0.951 |
 | at Dickinson | 27 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0.83 | 75% | 27.33 | 1.318 | ±0.742 | 18.89 | 0.778 | ±0.634 |
 |  | Gettysburg | 46 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0.33 | 39% | 35.44 | 2.073 | ±0.988 | 29.89 | 1.473 | ±0.881 |
| | at Frank. & Marsh. | 45 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0.78 | 69% | 30.22 | 1.508 | ±0.590 | 22.78 | 1.275 | ±0.499 |
 |  | Salisbury | 35 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0.50 | 51% | 25.00 | 1.051 | ±0.581 | 18.44 | 0.739 | ±0.426 |
| | at Frostburg St. | 17 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0.00 | 16% | 16.43 | 1.182 | ±0.867 | 35.00 | 1.335 | ±0.346 |
 | | TCNJ | 18 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0.44 | 45% | 34.33 | 1.187 | ±0.496 | 31.22 | 1.612 | ±0.665 |
 | at Rowan | 54 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0.67 | 62% | 38.89 | 1.479 | ±0.451 | 13.56 | 0.569 | ±0.306 |
 |  | Bates | 13 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0.07 | 19% | 13.29 | 0.635 | ±0.360 | 24.43 | 1.259 | ±0.644 |
| | at Hamilton | 10 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0.21 | 32% | 7.57 | 0.464 | ±0.551 | 21.71 | 0.933 | ±0.462 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 |  | St. John Fisher | 32 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0.62 | 62% | 32.00 | 1.486 | ±0.285 | 25.25 | 0.876 | ±0.535 |
| | at Hartwick | 28 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0.62 | 60% | 29.62 | 1.193 | ±0.531 | 23.75 | 0.867 | ±0.436 |
 | | Muskingum | 24 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0.28 | 34% | 15.11 | 0.830 | ±0.694 | 23.78 | 0.916 | ±0.431 |
 | at Heidelberg | 27 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0.44 | 46% | 26.89 | 1.248 | ±0.486 | 33.00 | 1.412 | ±0.346 |
 | | Kalamazoo | 26 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0.44 | 42% | 28.33 | 1.195 | ±0.672 | 32.67 | 2.117 | ±0.768 |
 | at Hope | 41 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0.28 | 35% | 21.33 | 1.106 | ±0.767 | 22.56 | 0.902 | ±0.614 |
 |  | Cortland St. | 16 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0.72 | 66% | 20.67 | 0.811 | ±0.508 | 11.89 | 0.499 | ±0.316 |
| | at Ithaca | 14 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0.67 | 63% | 28.00 | 1.235 | ±0.448 | 21.33 | 0.751 | ±0.440 |
 |  | Wilkes | 27 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0.67 | 65% | 18.56 | 1.000 | ±0.750 | 18.78 | 0.774 | ±0.327 |
| | at King's (PA) | 17 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0.22 | 32% | 20.00 | 0.991 | ±0.407 | 31.56 | 1.205 | ±0.319 |
 |  | Chapman | 24 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0.38 | 43% | 15.25 | 0.792 | ±0.352 | 22.00 | 0.916 | ±0.326 |
| | at La Verne | 12 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0.00 | 16% | 12.25 | 0.594 | ±0.326 | 34.00 | 1.369 | ±0.484 |
 | | Loras | 17 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0.28 | 37% | 18.56 | 1.045 | ±0.719 | 27.78 | 1.110 | ±0.572 |
 | at Luther | 21 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0.50 | 51% | 16.11 | 0.899 | ±0.678 | 18.22 | 0.853 | ±0.545 |
 | | FDU-Florham | 22 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0.22 | 31% | 23.56 | 0.922 | ±0.416 | 35.56 | 1.660 | ±1.050 |
 | at Lycoming | 33 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0.33 | 42% | 19.22 | 0.978 | ±0.621 | 24.00 | 0.887 | ±0.176 |
 |  | Ferrum | 25 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0.44 | 46% | 23.50 | 1.060 | ±0.534 | 24.38 | 1.214 | ±0.627 |
| | at Maryville (TN) | 21 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0.39 | 44% | 17.89 | 0.819 | ±0.367 | 23.44 | 1.034 | ±0.580 |
 |  | Willamette | 38 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0.75 | 67% | 39.00 | 1.594 | ±0.441 | 16.75 | 0.745 | ±0.346 |
| | at Menlo | 10 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0.44 | 44% | 14.33 | 0.520 | ±0.299 | 22.11 | 1.028 | ±0.554 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 |  | Chris. Newport | 30 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0.61 | 60% | 18.44 | 0.984 | ±0.842 | 19.33 | 0.801 | ±0.450 |
| | at Methodist | 16 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0.28 | 32% | 19.11 | 0.816 | ±0.514 | 30.44 | 1.582 | ±0.845 |
 |  | Augustana (IL) | 28 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0.56 | 57% | 25.33 | 1.162 | ±0.614 | 17.11 | 0.671 | ±0.383 |
| | at Millikin | 19 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0.67 | 63% | 26.78 | 1.155 | ±0.597 | 26.89 | 0.990 | ±0.410 |
 | | Birmingham-So. | 22 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0.50 | 49% | 25.56 | 0.976 | ±0.423 | 23.33 | 1.178 | ±0.663 |
 | at Millsaps | 38 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0.67 | 63% | 34.67 | 1.500 | ±0.385 | 22.00 | 0.912 | ±0.483 |
 | | Texas Lutheran | 16 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0.00 | 13% | 16.11 | 0.650 | ±0.285 | 40.22 | 1.686 | ±0.512 |
 | at Mississippi Col. | 58 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0.72 | 69% | 32.67 | 1.530 | ±0.866 | 27.78 | 0.837 | ±0.506 |
 |  | Kean | 21 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0.89 | 78% | 29.22 | 1.275 | ±0.475 | 13.22 | 0.477 | ±0.381 |
| | at Montclair St. | 13 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0.89 | 77% | 25.44 | 0.977 | ±0.378 | 16.00 | 0.720 | ±0.670 |
 | | Marietta | 5 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0.33 | 37% | 14.56 | 0.599 | ±0.338 | 27.44 | 1.227 | ±0.317 |
 | at Mount Union | 47 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0.94 | 82% | 37.89 | 1.715 | ±0.804 | 8.44 | 0.338 | ±0.302 |
 | | Moravian | 5 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0.22 | 32% | 7.33 | 0.312 | ±0.347 | 23.56 | 0.996 | ±0.391 |
 | at Muhlenberg | 14 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0.22 | 32% | 12.78 | 0.648 | ±0.468 | 17.56 | 0.637 | ±0.330 |
 | | Elmhurst | 17 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0.44 | 47% | 23.11 | 0.874 | ±0.436 | 22.11 | 0.920 | ±0.385 |
 | at North Central (IL) | 49 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0.78 | 72% | 49.00 | 2.377 | ±0.654 | 18.00 | 0.781 | ±0.590 |
 |  | Ill. Wesleyan | 44 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0.89 | 81% | 28.11 | 1.355 | ±0.690 | 13.22 | 0.458 | ±0.319 |
| | at North Park | 6 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0.17 | 27% | 10.56 | 0.513 | ±0.287 | 37.00 | 1.363 | ±0.660 |
 | | Hiram | 10 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 0.06 | 18% | 7.89 | 0.481 | ±0.474 | 38.44 | 1.896 | ±1.129 |
 | at Oberlin | 18 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0.17 | 28% | 9.22 | 0.473 | ±0.308 | 25.33 | 1.014 | ±0.459 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 |  | Allegheny | 24 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0.78 | 70% | 21.44 | 1.062 | ±0.589 | 21.11 | 0.779 | ±0.502 |
| | at Ohio Wesleyan | 11 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0.28 | 33% | 14.56 | 0.548 | ±0.382 | 23.33 | 1.069 | ±0.568 |
 | | John Carroll | 16 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0.39 | 43% | 17.67 | 0.777 | ±0.392 | 23.67 | 0.911 | ±0.583 |
 | at Otterbein | 28 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0.83 | 73% | 28.78 | 1.245 | ±0.728 | 20.00 | 0.988 | ±0.551 |
 |  | Hampden-Sydney | 23 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0.94 | 81% | 31.56 | 1.398 | ±0.691 | 14.33 | 0.621 | ±0.472 |
| | at Randolph-Macon | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0.61 | 54% | 18.33 | 0.888 | ±0.590 | 15.33 | 0.806 | ±0.525 |
 | | Merchant Marine | 16 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0.50 | 50% | 20.00 | 1.052 | ±0.840 | 24.11 | 1.281 | ±1.165 |
 | at Rensselaer | 24 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0.50 | 50% | 19.00 | 0.946 | ±0.702 | 16.88 | 0.724 | ±0.474 |
 | | Sewanee | 12 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0.00 | 17% | 8.12 | 0.353 | ±0.306 | 33.88 | 1.291 | ±0.562 |
 | at Rhodes | 25 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0.12 | 24% | 17.62 | 0.792 | ±0.370 | 35.75 | 1.480 | ±0.526 |
 |  | Hobart | 23 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0.62 | 61% | 21.25 | 1.028 | ±0.551 | 15.38 | 0.700 | ±0.538 |
| | at Rochester (NY) | 17 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0.44 | 49% | 23.11 | 1.140 | ±0.542 | 25.67 | 0.947 | ±0.397 |
 |  | Concordia (WI) | 30 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0.50 | 50% | 16.22 | 0.692 | ±0.383 | 21.67 | 1.052 | ±0.762 |
| | at Rockford | 7 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0.11 | 20% | 7.11 | 0.264 | ±0.205 | 40.00 | 2.042 | ±0.490 |
 | | Carleton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0.39 | 41% | 20.33 | 1.095 | ±0.718 | 24.11 | 1.155 | ±0.688 |
 | at St. John's (MN) | 28 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0.94 | 83% | 24.33 | 1.171 | ±0.497 | 13.44 | 0.549 | ±0.362 |
 | | Hamline | 13 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0.39 | 44% | 20.56 | 1.076 | ±0.610 | 26.67 | 1.216 | ±0.850 |
 | at St. Olaf | 22 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0.39 | 44% | 17.33 | 0.867 | ±0.642 | 13.33 | 0.561 | ±0.280 |
 | | Northwestern (MN) | 19 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0.56 | 52% | 30.00 | 1.292 | ±0.765 | 22.78 | 1.123 | ±0.620 |
 | at St. Thomas (MN) | 42 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0.83 | 74% | 36.33 | 1.907 | ±0.881 | 13.33 | 0.684 | ±0.422 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 | | Frostburg St. | 17 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0.00 | 16% | 16.43 | 1.182 | ±0.867 | 35.00 | 1.335 | ±0.346 |
 | at Salisbury | 35 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0.50 | 51% | 25.00 | 1.051 | ±0.581 | 18.44 | 0.739 | ±0.426 |
 | | Greensboro | 15 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0.50 | 50% | 15.78 | 0.730 | ±0.395 | 19.00 | 0.857 | ±0.458 |
 | at Shenandoah | 17 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0.11 | 21% | 19.00 | 0.883 | ±0.334 | 21.22 | 0.970 | ±0.401 |
 |  | Grove City | 33 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0.44 | 46% | 26.88 | 1.266 | ±0.858 | 25.00 | 1.034 | ±0.679 |
| | at Thiel | 20 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0.44 | 44% | 18.38 | 0.859 | ±0.507 | 23.88 | 1.310 | ±0.986 |
 | | Wesleyan (CT) | 15 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0.43 | 44% | 16.00 | 0.746 | ±0.628 | 23.00 | 1.788 | ±1.696 |
 | at Trinity (CT) | 43 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0.71 | 65% | 27.14 | 1.599 | ±0.588 | 18.71 | 0.969 | ±0.371 |
 |  | Middlebury | 24 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0.50 | 52% | 25.14 | 1.504 | ±0.772 | 21.29 | 0.995 | ±0.777 |
| | at Tufts | 12 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0.29 | 36% | 12.43 | 0.585 | ±0.450 | 17.57 | 0.823 | ±0.557 |
 |  | Susquehanna | 20 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0.78 | 68% | 25.11 | 1.200 | ±0.607 | 17.33 | 1.138 | ±0.885 |
| | at Union (NY) | 19 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0.72 | 65% | 18.56 | 0.971 | ±0.614 | 16.44 | 0.819 | ±0.376 |
 | | Simpson | 22 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0.33 | 38% | 23.00 | 1.288 | ±0.724 | 34.11 | 1.758 | ±0.608 |
 | at Wartburg | 44 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0.61 | 58% | 25.33 | 1.287 | ±0.585 | 18.22 | 0.859 | ±0.574 |
 | | Waynesburg | 16 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0.50 | 48% | 33.89 | 1.563 | ±0.820 | 29.44 | 2.201 | ±2.821 |
 | at Wash. & Jeff. | 52 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0.81 | 71% | 30.00 | 1.301 | ±0.804 | 9.75 | 0.517 | ±0.297 |
 | | Ohio Dominican | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.83 | 76% | 27.67 | 1.285 | ±1.008 | 26.00 | 1.048 | ±0.818 |
 | at Wesley | 38 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0.94 | 81% | 32.12 | 1.599 | ±0.853 | 7.62 | 0.414 | ±0.353 |
 |  | Wm. Paterson | 30 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0.44 | 46% | 18.78 | 0.730 | ±0.405 | 16.56 | 0.568 | ±0.248 |
| | at Western Conn. St. | 14 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0.22 | 31% | 21.44 | 0.950 | ±0.518 | 39.89 | 1.625 | ±0.483 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 |  | Johns Hopkins | 47 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0.78 | 71% | 32.89 | 1.709 | ±0.845 | 16.89 | 0.935 | ±0.745 |
| | at McDaniel | 17 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0.56 | 51% | 21.89 | 0.837 | ±0.285 | 25.67 | 1.549 | ±0.992 |
 | | Carthage | 21 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0.61 | 59% | 31.11 | 1.636 | ±0.961 | 32.22 | 1.358 | ±0.609 |
 | at Wheaton (IL) | 48 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0.78 | 72% | 31.44 | 1.668 | ±0.754 | 14.78 | 0.558 | ±0.280 |
 |  | Occidental | 26 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0.69 | 66% | 20.12 | 1.037 | ±0.675 | 15.88 | 0.641 | ±0.416 |
| | at Whittier | 14 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0.38 | 40% | 20.12 | 0.902 | ±0.300 | 26.00 | 1.292 | ±0.553 |
 |  | Delaware Valley | 41 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0.89 | 83% | 30.11 | 1.736 | ±0.670 | 13.67 | 0.496 | ±0.336 |
| | at Widener | 12 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0.33 | 38% | 21.78 | 0.963 | ±0.533 | 26.11 | 1.189 | ±0.461 |
 | | Amherst | 12 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 86% | 19.43 | 0.911 | ±0.227 | 8.86 | 0.548 | ±0.528 |
 | at Williams | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0.86 | 74% | 31.14 | 1.612 | ±0.445 | 13.29 | 0.637 | ±0.366 |
 |  | Wis.-Whitewater | 39 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0.94 | 80% | 36.25 | 1.802 | ±0.977 | 6.62 | 0.303 | ±0.239 |
| | at Wis.-La Crosse | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0.61 | 57% | 29.00 | 1.256 | ±0.722 | 21.78 | 1.072 | ±0.721 |
 |  | Wis.-Stout | 20 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0.69 | 65% | 21.00 | 0.826 | ±0.576 | 14.12 | 0.478 | ±0.342 |
| | at Wis.-Oshkosh | 15 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0.50 | 53% | 25.67 | 1.233 | ±0.656 | 23.22 | 0.959 | ±0.522 |
 |  | Wis.-Stevens Point | 21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0.69 | 67% | 19.88 | 1.114 | ±0.666 | 18.75 | 0.665 | ±0.406 |
| | at Wis.-Platteville | 13 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0.39 | 43% | 17.56 | 0.792 | ±0.359 | 21.89 | 0.843 | ±0.422 |
 | | Wis.-Eau Claire | 36 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0.50 | 51% | 26.67 | 1.713 | ±0.828 | 30.00 | 1.552 | ±0.822 |
 | at Wis.-River Falls | 41 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0.39 | 45% | 24.11 | 1.491 | ±0.791 | 25.67 | 1.044 | ±0.553 |
 | | Wooster | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0.50 | 52% | 28.33 | 1.476 | ±0.796 | 22.89 | 0.894 | ±0.510 |
 | at Wittenberg | 36 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 85% | 38.44 | 1.670 | ±0.709 | 5.22 | 0.315 | ±0.260 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 | | St. Lawrence | 17 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0.22 | 33% | 14.00 | 0.760 | ±0.588 | 25.11 | 1.052 | ±0.405 |
 | at WPI | 30 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0.33 | 37% | 26.44 | 1.259 | ±0.485 | 22.67 | 1.160 | ±0.840 |
 |  | Trinity (TX) | 30 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0.61 | 55% | 25.00 | 0.872 | ±0.547 | 20.56 | 0.959 | ±0.901 |
| | at Austin | 27 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0.50 | 48% | 29.25 | 1.216 | ±0.345 | 26.25 | 1.461 | ±0.749 |
 | | Bluffton | 12 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0.00 | 13% | 13.67 | 0.561 | ±0.259 | 37.22 | 1.542 | ±0.345 |
 | at Defiance | 26 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0.39 | 41% | 16.22 | 0.712 | ±0.379 | 21.89 | 0.868 | ±0.507 |
 |  | Howard Payne | 34 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0.38 | 39% | 31.12 | 1.043 | ±0.450 | 32.00 | 1.253 | ±0.488 |
| | at East Tex. Baptist | 22 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0.22 | 31% | 17.44 | 0.705 | ±0.388 | 31.44 | 1.121 | ±0.396 |
 | | LaGrange | 19 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0.62 | 59% | 24.38 | 0.933 | ±0.373 | 24.62 | 1.028 | ±0.570 |
 | at Greenville | 20 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0.69 | 64% | 19.25 | 0.782 | ±0.348 | 21.25 | 0.754 | ±0.524 |
 |  | Emory & Henry | 18 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0.61 | 60% | 19.78 | 0.902 | ±0.603 | 18.00 | 0.749 | ±0.426 |
| | at Guilford | 11 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0.28 | 34% | 14.78 | 0.573 | ±0.421 | 19.78 | 0.952 | ±0.428 |
 |  | Franklin | 37 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0.61 | 59% | 27.00 | 1.182 | ±0.610 | 24.22 | 0.989 | ±0.463 |
| | at Hanover | 28 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0.33 | 39% | 28.22 | 1.195 | ±0.455 | 31.44 | 1.381 | ±0.358 |
 | | Aurora | 16 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0.44 | 44% | 21.44 | 0.775 | ±0.320 | 23.33 | 1.009 | ±0.689 |
 | at Lakeland | 23 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0.50 | 51% | 22.78 | 0.996 | ±0.511 | 21.78 | 0.727 | ±0.628 |
 | | Pacific Lutheran | 27 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0.38 | 39% | 24.75 | 1.033 | ±0.369 | 29.00 | 1.467 | ±0.784 |
 | at Linfield | 56 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 86% | 40.00 | 1.865 | ±0.223 | 21.86 | 1.305 | ±1.112 |
 | | McMurry | 26 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0.50 | 49% | 25.33 | 0.967 | ±0.465 | 27.56 | 1.118 | ±0.583 |
 | at Louisiana Col. | 40 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0.67 | 61% | 37.00 | 1.418 | ±0.469 | 27.33 | 0.990 | ±0.661 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 | | Anderson (IN) | 15 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0.19 | 27% | 17.50 | 0.716 | ±0.547 | 34.62 | 1.541 | ±0.920 |
 | at Manchester | 27 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0.50 | 50% | 19.11 | 0.712 | ±0.327 | 19.67 | 0.880 | ±0.709 |
 | | Sul Ross St. | 6 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0.28 | 30% | 20.11 | 0.616 | ±0.406 | 24.78 | 1.102 | ±0.709 |
 | at Mary Hardin-Baylor | 38 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0.88 | 75% | 38.62 | 1.359 | ±0.552 | 9.50 | 0.340 | ±0.173 |
 | | Lawrence | 12 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0.11 | 21% | 10.00 | 0.432 | ±0.289 | 36.67 | 1.644 | ±0.358 |
 | at Minn.-Morris | 23 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0.21 | 27% | 15.00 | 0.580 | ±0.382 | 28.29 | 1.105 | ±0.782 |
 | | MacMurray | 36 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0.17 | 27% | 29.33 | 1.116 | ±0.639 | 41.11 | 1.791 | ±0.819 |
 | at Westminster (MO) | 49 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0.44 | 45% | 26.75 | 1.221 | ±0.740 | 28.62 | 1.394 | ±0.855 |
 |  | Geneva | 28 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.50 | 53% | 19.67 | 0.948 | ±0.743 | 23.33 | 0.737 | ±0.524 |
| | at Westminster (PA) | 18 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0.31 | 38% | 20.50 | 0.926 | ±0.531 | 30.75 | 1.352 | ±0.556 |
 |  | Ohio Northern | 39 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0.72 | 68% | 30.44 | 1.414 | ±0.558 | 17.56 | 0.787 | ±0.767 |
| | at Wilmington (OH) | 12 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0.11 | 23% | 15.33 | 0.661 | ±0.374 | 28.56 | 1.207 | ±0.398 |
 |  | Thomas More | 19 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0.94 | 82% | 24.25 | 1.029 | ±0.543 | 10.88 | 0.460 | ±0.274 |
| | at Mt. St. Joseph | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0.94 | 80% | 33.11 | 1.335 | ±0.698 | 17.44 | 0.850 | ±0.533 |
 | | Maranatha Baptist | 6 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0.00 | 12% | 6.44 | 0.258 | ±0.230 | 36.56 | 2.206 | ±1.045 |
 | at Wis. Lutheran | 42 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0.44 | 46% | 22.11 | 0.940 | ±0.477 | 20.00 | 1.186 | ±0.966 |
 | | Puget Sound | 21 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0.00 | 16% | 12.50 | 0.662 | ±0.523 | 31.62 | 1.191 | ±0.238 |
 | at Lewis & Clark | 25 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0.19 | 28% | 19.75 | 0.814 | ±0.578 | 35.88 | 1.473 | ±0.649 |
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